Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases

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Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases.

INTRODUCTION Mathematical models allow us to extrapolate from current information about the state and progress of an outbreak, to predict the future and, most importantly, to quantify the uncertainty in these predictions. Here, we illustrate these principles in relation to the current H1N1 epidemic. SOURCES OF DATA Many sources of data are used in mathematical modelling, with some forms of mo...

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Infectious diseases affect both animals and humans and cause significant financial losses and loss of lives every year around the world. For developing nations like India the losses are all the more critical because they affect economic growth (i.e. loss of animals and labor). Mathematical models have become important tools in analyzing the spread and control of infectious diseases. The modelli...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: British Medical Bulletin

سال: 2009

ISSN: 0007-1420,1471-8391

DOI: 10.1093/bmb/ldp038